> Quick view: October 2026's AFA is +3.61 sen/kWh, against +3.67 sen in September and a rebate of −6.50 sen in October 2025. Domestic accounts at or under 800 kWh a month still pay no AFA, RM10 retail charge or SST until 31 December 2026, and September's share of that relief appears as a credit on the October bill. The new outlook for November 2026 to January 2027 is +4.27 to +7.59 sen — higher than anything charged this year.
What changed in October
Three things, in order of how much they matter to a typical household.
1. Your October bill carries a credit for September. The 800 kWh line was announced on 17 September, halfway through the month, so September bills were issued under the old 600 kWh rule. In a press release dated 2 October 2026, TNB said the difference is calculated pro-rata and credited directly into the October 2026 bill. Look for two lines:
- PELARASAN BIL (SEP 2026) — the AFA and RM10 retail-charge adjustment;
- PELARASAN CUKAI PERKHIDMATAN (8%) (SEP 2026) — the SST adjustment.
TNB's eligibility schedule, based on September 2026 consumption from an actual meter reading:
- 600 kWh and below: no adjustment — you were already exempt under the old line.
- 601 to 800 kWh: adjustment to the AFA, the RM10 retail charge and the 8% SST.
- 801 kWh and above: adjustment to the 8% SST only.
TNB adds that an *estimated* bill does not show the adjustment; it is calculated automatically once an actual reading is taken.
2. The October rate. The AFA for October 2026 is a surcharge of 3.61 sen per kWh, or RM391 million, as published by TNB and carried on Single Buyer's AFA page. That is 0.06 sen below September, but 0.25 sen above the 3.36 sen TNB's own outlook had pencilled in for October a month earlier — the first time this year the projection has undershot rather than overshot.
3. The outlook turned. In September, Single Buyer described fuel prices as trending downward. The new outlook for November 2026 to January 2027 is +4.27 to +7.59 sen/kWh, and the commentary now says fuel prices are trending upward, citing the US-Israel-Iran conflict and El Niño. Single Buyer has not published a month-by-month split for the three months, only the range.
Every AFA rate declared in 2026
The AFA is declared monthly by the Energy Commission (Suruhanjaya Tenaga, ST) for the month it applies to:
- January 2026: −4.99 sen/kWh (rebate)
- February 2026: −2.77 sen/kWh (rebate)
- March 2026: −2.15 sen/kWh (rebate)
- April 2026: −0.47 sen/kWh (rebate)
- May 2026: +1.38 sen/kWh (surcharge)
- June 2026: +2.59 sen/kWh (surcharge)
- July 2026: +3.59 sen/kWh (surcharge)
- August 2026: +3.80 sen/kWh (surcharge)
- September 2026: +3.67 sen/kWh (surcharge)
- October 2026: +3.61 sen/kWh (surcharge)
Two comparisons put October in context. Against October 2025, when the AFA was a rebate of 6.50 sen, the same month now costs 10.11 sen/kWh more. And against the new outlook, October's 3.61 sen is likely to be the cheapest month until at least February 2027: even the bottom of the November–January range, 4.27 sen, is above it.
Why there is still a surcharge
AFA compares the month's actual fuel cost of generation with the base fuel cost written into the RP4 tariff. Above base is a surcharge; below base is a rebate. The base prices are 97 USD per metric tonne for coal (RM19.14 per mmBTU at 4.307 RM/USD) and RM35 and RM46 per mmBTU for Tier 1 and Tier 2 gas. The declared October 2026 figures:
- Coal: 123.76 USD/MT (September: 122.85), which at 4.0834 RM/USD is 23.16 RM/mmBTU — above the RM19.14 base.
- Gas Tier 1: 32.68 RM/mmBTU (September: 31.71) — still *below* its RM35 base.
- Gas Tier 2: 58.92 RM/mmBTU (September: 57.87) — above its RM46 base.
Every fuel line rose slightly from September; a marginally stronger ringgit (4.0834 against 4.0944) is part of why the rate still edged down. The outlook assumes an average coal price of 137 USD/MT against 123, and Tier 2 gas of RM59 against RM58 — which is where the higher November–January range comes from.
Still a whole-account test for AFA — but not for SST
TNB's 2 October schedule settles a point that was unclear when the 800 kWh line was announced.
- AFA and the RM10 retail charge are whole-account. At 800 kWh no unit carries AFA; at 801 kWh AFA applies to all 801 units, plus the retail charge. At October's 3.61 sen that single extra unit brings about RM28.92 of AFA and RM10 of retail charge.
- The 8% SST is charged on the portion above the line. Accounts above 800 kWh still receive an SST adjustment for September, which only makes sense if the first 800 kWh became SST-free when the line moved up. A 900 kWh home pays SST on roughly its last 100 kWh, not on the whole bill.
If your bills sit between about 780 and 820 kWh, the 801st unit is still the most expensive one you will buy this year.
What it costs in ringgit
AFA is a flat sen-per-kWh figure times the month's consumption. On October's 3.61 sen:
- 700 kWh a month: RM0 of AFA until 31 December. Under the old 600 kWh line it would have been about RM25.27; with the RM10 retail charge and SST on the 100 kWh above 600, the measure saves about RM39 a month.
- 800 kWh a month: RM0 — about RM28.88 of AFA, RM10 of retail charge and SST on 200 kWh avoided, roughly RM46 a month.
- 900 kWh a month: about RM32.49 of AFA.
- 1,200 kWh a month: about RM43.32 of AFA.
- A shop or office using 5,000 kWh: about RM180.50 of AFA.
What January 2027 could look like. January is inside the new outlook range and is also the first month the line drops back to 600 kWh. A 700 kWh household would go from paying no AFA to roughly RM29.89 to RM53.13 of AFA (700 × 4.27–7.59 sen), plus the RM10 retail charge and SST on the units above 600. A 900 kWh household would pay about RM38.43 to RM68.31. These are projections, not declared rates.
How the rest of the bill is built
The RP4 regulatory period took effect on 1 July 2025 and runs to the end of 2027. As reported when it was introduced, a domestic bill is built from a generation charge of 27.03 sen/kWh below 1,500 kWh a month (37.03 sen above), a capacity charge of 4.55 sen/kWh, a network charge of 12.85 sen/kWh and a RM10 retail charge. The monthly AFA is then added or deducted, and the Energy Efficiency Incentive (*Insentif Cekap Tenaga*) is applied as a sliding discount for households under 1,000 kWh. The temporary 800 kWh measure changes none of those rates; it only switches off the AFA, retail charge and SST for more households.
What to do with this
- Check your October bill. If September was between 601 and 800 kWh on an actual reading, the two PELARASAN lines should show a credit. If you were above 800 kWh, expect only the SST line. If the bill was an estimate, the credit follows once a real reading is taken.
- Use TNB's own yardstick. In the same release TNB suggests keeping daily use below 25 kWh — about 750 kWh over a 30-day month — and setting the Energy Budget in the myTNB app below RM328 if you have a smart meter.
- Air-conditioning: TNB recommends 24°C to 26°C with the timer on; it is usually what tips a household over the line in hot, hazy weather.
- Time-of-Use users: TNB's off-peak window is 10pm to 2pm on weekdays, plus all of Saturday, Sunday and selected public holidays — that is when to run washers, dryers and EV charging.
- Between 600 and 800 kWh: plan for AFA, the retail charge and SST to return on January 2027 usage unless the measure is extended. Budget 2027 is tabled on 9 October, the first place an extension would appear.
- Businesses: budget on each month's declared rate. On the new outlook, October is the cheap month.
Questions on a specific bill go to TNB CareLine on 1300-88-5454 (8am–7pm weekdays, 8am–5pm weekends and public holidays) or CareLine@myTNB.my.
Related reads
- Budget 2027: what to know before 9 October — whether the 800 kWh line survives past December is a Budget question.
- Best solar panel installers in Malaysia — the usual answer for a household stuck well above the line every month.
- Best aircon servicing and repair in KL — air-conditioning is where most households cross it.
*Sources: Single Buyer (singlebuyer.com.my), Malaysia's electricity market operator, AFA page read 8 October 2026 for the October 2026 rate, declared fuel prices and the November 2026–January 2027 outlook; TNB press release S.A. 2026/10/02_25 (HQ), 2 October 2026, on the pro-rated September credit; paultan.org reports of 2 September 2026 (September AFA), 17 September 2026 (800 kWh protection) and 29 September 2025 (October 2025 AFA); the Energy Commission's monthly AFA declarations for January to September 2026 as reported at the time; and contemporaneous reporting on the RP4 domestic tariff effective 1 July 2025. This is a factual explainer, not financial advice.*



